Weekly Economic Update for Dec. 1-5, 2025

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Weekly Economic Update for Dec. 1-5, 2025
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Key Points:

Personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation was 2.8% year-over-year in September.

  • While price growth across services moderated over 2025, goods prices grew at the fastest pace since 2023.

Year-over-Year Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Inflation

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis



Personal incomes continue to grow, though the pace of growth has generally moderated over 2025.

  • The chart below shows personal incomes excluding current transfer receipts such as social security and unemployment insurance.
  • Real income growth is an important driver of consumption growth and economic growth generally.

Real Personal Income Excluding Current Transfer Receipts

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
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