Weekly Economic Update (Nov. 2-6, 2026)

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Weekly Economic Update (Nov. 2-6, 2026)
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Key Points

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The unemployment rate fell back to 4.1% in October.

  • While headline unemployment remains low by historical standards, many workers are staying unemployed for longer periods of time.
  • The U-1 rate, which covers workers unemployed for 15 or more weeks, reached 1.9% - the highest level since 2021.
  • The chart below shows percentile ranks for the headline unemployment rate and U-1.
  • In October, the U-1 rate ranked at the 65th percentile, meaning the U-1 rate was at least as high as 65% of historical U-1 rates.

Unemployment Measures by Percentile Rank

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

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Despite heightened macroeconomic uncertainty, adjustments to bank lending standards for auto and credit card loans were modest over the 3rd quarter of 2026.

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Net % of Domestic Banks Tightening Standards for Loans

Source: Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (lending standards)

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